REPORT: Experts, Trump advisers doubt White House coronavirus deaths estimate

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BY TEAM DML / APRIL 3, 2020 /

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As the most reliable and balanced news aggregation service on the internet, DML News App offers the following information published by WashingtonPost:

Leading disease forecasters, whose research the White House used to conclude 100,000 to 240,000 people will die nationwide from the coronavirus, were mystified when they saw the administration’s projection this week.

The experts said they don’t challenge the numbers’ validity but that they don’t know how the White House arrived at them.

The article goes on to state the following:

White House officials have refused to explain how they generated the figure — a death toll bigger than the United States suffered in the Vietnam War or the 9/11 terrorist attacks. They have not provided the underlying data so others can assess its reliability or provided long-term strategies to lower that death count.

The report says that three sources revealed that “some of President Trump’s top advisers have expressed doubts about the estimate” and that there have been “fierce debates inside the White House about its accuracy.”

The repost has sparked new criticism about the Trump administration.

Joe Scarborough, co-host of Morning Joe on MSNBC, tweeted:

Predicting how the actions of 340 million Americans, 50 different state approaches, and one erratic president will impact the spread of this pandemic makes modeling its death rate difficult. The continued failure of testing in the US makes it impossible.

Chris Stigall with Townhall tweeted:

Translation: “Crap. What if these numbers are waaaaay inflated and Trump comes in far below the death projections?! He’ll look good! We can’t have that! We’d better dig into the modeling after all!”

To get more information about this article, please visit WashingtonPost. To weigh in, leave a comment below.

DML News App offered you the above aggregated article preview as part of our ongoing effort to educate and inform people around the world about news, events, and politics. We encourage you to obtain additional information by visiting WashingtonPost

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3 Comments

  1. gary April 4th, 2020 at 6:27 am

    does anyone else out there other than the President and I think we are being taken for a ride?

    Reply

    • Deanie April 4th, 2020 at 8:32 pm

      …Since Day 1. What else was in the toolbox to take him down? It’s just so odd. 🙁

      Reply

  2. Mark Miller April 4th, 2020 at 8:01 pm

    I agree with Carl and Gary. But we also need to see how we can prepare for the surge. According to https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/21/upshot/coronavirus-deaths-by-country.html?action=click&module=Top%20Stories&pgtype=Homepage we have 8164 deaths in the USA as of April 4 and it is doubling every 3 days. If you take the number 1 and double it every 3 days for 31 days (a month) the answer is 1024, multiply that by today’s number of deaths and the number is 8,294,400. Anyway you model it, its a big number. The rate is however dropping off over time. If it doubles every 5 days the 1024 number drops to 64. Anyway you look at it we need to be prepared as best we can and I think that is what the administration is doing very well. The models are only as good as the difficult assumptions that go into them. Need to stop nit picking, keep the eye on the ball, and solve the problem.

    Reply

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